In 2021, the domestic viscose staple fiber market price fluctuated greatly, showing an overall trend of two increases and two decreases. The market fluctuated up and down, with two more prominent peaks appearing respectively, at 15860 in March 2021 and in October 2021. 14700 for the month. As of the end of the year, the base price of the viscose staple fiber market was 12,180 yuan/ton, a year-on-year increase of 11.64%.
The first stage (January to March) increased by 4800
From January to March 2021, the price of domestic viscose staple fiber rose from 11,000 yuan/ton to 15,860 yuan/ton, an increase of as much as 44%.
Since January 2021, viscose staple fiber has continued the upward trend at the end of 2020. After returning to the market after the New Year’s Day, viscose staple fiber manufacturers have increased their prices and controlled the volume of orders. Even if the downstream stockpiles are sufficient, they have not yet The specific reason that hinders the upward movement of viscose staple fiber is that the dissolving pulp held by the factory can only guarantee its own production for 2 months. The purchase volume and price of dissolving pulp in March are not yet obvious and the signing is limited. The continuous increase trend is also moderate. Stimulate some customers who just need to fill orders. After the Spring Festival (mid-February 2021), the viscose staple fiber market continues to rise sharply. In just January, the price center of viscose staple fiber has moved up again by 2,500 yuan/ton. In late February 2021, the continued pursuit of prices above 15,000 yuan/ton has slowed down significantly.
The second stage (April-September) fell by 3600
From April to September 2021, domestic viscose staple fiber prices continued to decline slowly, falling from 15,860 yuan/ton to 12,240 yuan/ton, a drop of as much as 22.8%.
Since late March 2021, the trading volume in the textile market has turned sluggish. The price of viscose staple fiber has not adjusted since it hit a high in early March 2021. Although competing products and downstream products have fallen wantonly, manufacturers have actively raised prices, and the demand side has , In April 2021, viscose staple fiber continued the sluggish sales trend in March, and prices gradually declined. Entering May 2021, manufacturers are under inventory pressure, and some manufacturers have reduced prices. After the holiday, prices have continued to fall, transactions have increased, and inventory pressure has eased. Throughout May, the viscose staple fiber market continued to be light, and downstream yarns were unsaleable. Spinner mill inventories are high and demand for viscose is limited. From June to August 2021, after June, viscose staple fiber factories gave priority to executing orders and rebounded moderately to raise prices. However, the market was not strong enough to chase the increase, and soon the market once again entered a state of weak volume and weak prices. Entering September 2021, the trading atmosphere in the viscose staple fiber market continues to be weak, terminal sales are sluggish, rigid demand replenishment is reduced, spinners have limited willingness to purchase viscose, inventories continue to rise, manufacturers have different attitudes toward subsequent price strategies, and some manufacturers Pessimistic mentality. Starting from mid-September 2021, in order to activate the market, the prices of various manufacturers have gradually dropped, and some manufacturers have even reduced prices by 500-800 yuan/ton in a single day. Downstream procurement has improved slightly, but its effect on boosting the market is limited.
The third stage (October) increased by 2500
In October 2021, driven by cotton prices and affected by the decline in power supply operating rates, domestic viscose staple fiber prices rose sharply, from 12,240 yuan/ton to 14,700 yuan/ton, an increase of as much as 20.1%.
In October 2021, the viscose staple fiber industry was affected by the decline in power supply operating rates. Manufacturers had a strong bullish sentiment. The price of viscose staple fiber rose sharply and stabilized at the end of the month. In late October 2021, the domestic ex-factory price of 1.2D*38mm viscose staple fiber was 14,700 yuan/ton, which was nearly 2,500 yuan/ton higher than the price at the beginning of the month, an increase of up to 20.1%. Viscose staple fiber manufacturers began to close sales before the National Day, and after the holiday, manufacturers’ quotations continued to increase. From the perspective of inventory and load, the inventory pressure of viscose staple fiber manufacturers is not great, the trading volume at high prices is limited, manufacturers limit orders and are reluctant to sell, and the mainstream trading atmosphere is acceptable.
The fourth stage (November-December) fell by 2520
From November to December 2021, affected by sluggish downstream demand, domestic viscose staple fiber prices continued to decline, falling from 14,700 yuan/ton to 12,180 yuan/ton, a decrease of 17.14%.
In November 2021, under the weakness of bulk energy sources such as international crude oil, coupled with weak downstream demand, it also had a certain impact on the products in the textile industry chain. Throughout November, manufacturers signed poor orders and downstream replenishment was not willing. Strong, showing a certain degree of price but no market, viscose staple fiber factory quotations continued to fall.
In December 2021, consumer terminals continued to lack power, and manufacturers shipped goods at discounts to warehouses. The overall market was hardly optimistic, with no favorable support from both upstream and downstream, and the price of viscose staple fell sharply twice. The first time: December 2, 2021, the domestic ex-factory quotation of 1.2D*38mm viscose staple fiber was 13,180 yuan/ton, which was about 780 yuan/ton lower than the end of November, with a price reduction of 5.59%; the second time: 2021 On December 27, 2019, the domestic ex-factory quotation of 1.2D*38mm viscose staple fiber was 12,180 yuan/ton, which was about 680 yuan/ton lower than the previous day, with a price reduction of 5.29%.
Viscose staple fiber import and export trends in 2021
In terms of imports: my country’s viscose staple fiber production will increase in 2021, the average price will increase significantly year-on-year, and with the influx of imported goods, the export situation is not optimistic. According to customs statistics, my country’s viscose staple fiber exports in October 2021 The volume was 18,700 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 54.24% and a month-on-month decrease of 12.9%. The cumulative export volume of viscose staple fiber from January to October 2021 was 262,400 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 15.49%. The export volume of viscose staple fiber has not achieved growth in 2021.
In terms of exports: my country’s viscose staple fiber imports in October 2021 were 17,400 tons, a year-on-year increase of 17.75% and a month-on-month decrease.17.47%. The cumulative import volume of viscose staple fiber from January to October 2021 was 184,300 tons, a year-on-year increase of 55.66%.
Market outlook forecast
The trend of viscose staple fiber in 2021 is stronger than that in 2020, and prices in the same period are also higher than in 2020. The signing of orders for viscose staple fiber around New Year’s Day in 2022 is relatively optimistic. Chemical fiber factories generally raise prices and limit sales. The downstream orders are basically completed, and the follow-up may focus on collection and delivery. As the Spring Festival approaches, terminal factories are going on holiday and suspending production. There are many negative fundamental factors. It is expected that short-term viscose prices may mainly fluctuate slightly. The current price of viscose staple fiber is 12,400 yuan/ton, and the price of raw material dissolving pulp has also dropped to near the cost line. With cost support, the downward space of viscose price is limited. In the medium and long term, the prosperity of viscose staple fiber is expected to increase.
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