Every summer is a time when environmental protection and production restrictions are more frequent, and 2021 is no exception . Starting from May 31, various weaving, printing and dyeing enterprises began to implement production cuts and restrictions based on different standards. Normally, once production is restricted, factories and customers will be very anxious. Limited production capacity will inevitably require a longer production time and delivery issues. It is before everyone that many companies are troubled by production restrictions. However, judging from the analysis report of the Filament Weaving Association on the first three quarters of last year, weaving production restrictions did not affect the production of important textile clusters in Jiangsu and Zhejiang. What happened? ?
In the first three quarters of 2021, the production situation of my country’s filament weaving industry has gradually recovered. According to my country’s filament weaving industry According to statistics from the association, the cumulative output of chemical fiber filament fabrics in the nine regions of Shengze, Changxing, Xiuzhou, Longhu, Siyang, Pingwang, Qidu, Keqiao and Xiaohai was 23.34 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%.
Affected by dual energy consumption controls and industrial structure adjustments, the output of chemical fiber filament fabrics in some clusters has declined. In the first three quarters, the cumulative output of chemical fiber filament fabrics in Changxing region was 4.8 billion meters, a year-on-year decrease of 11.1%, and an average decrease of 2.52% in two years; the cumulative output of chemical fiber filament fabrics in Pingwang region was 3.17 billion meters, a year-on-year decrease of 12.7%. The two-year average decrease was 14.3%.
The Shengze area performed better. From January to September, chemical fiber growth in the Shengze area Silk fabric production has reached a total of 7.47 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 11.0%, and an average growth of 4.1% in two years. As a traditional chemical fiber filament fabric production base, Shengze relies on a complete industrial chain to continue to promote the upgrading of the industrial structure and introduce digital management systems. Gradually eliminate backward production capacity, and production capacity remains at the leading level in the industry.
The output of chemical fiber filament fabrics in Longhu, Siyang and Qidu also achieved two-year average positive growth . In August, the State Council released the “National Fitness Plan (2021-2025)”, triggering a national fitness craze. Coupled with the arrival of “La Nina” in 2021, the early arrival of winter has significantly stimulated consumers’ willingness to buy winter clothing and cold-proof clothing. The rich and colorful products in the market have better stimulated the release of market demand. Longhu area mainly produces functional outdoor sports fabrics and cold-proof clothing. Driven by the market demand side, the output has increased significantly. Siyang and Qidu mainly produce home textile fabrics. Mainly, the market has sufficient resilience and output has maintained a slight growth.
Production table of chemical fiber filament fabrics in my country’s major filament weaving industry clusters from January to September 2021
Note: The two-year average growth rate is based on the first three quarters of 2019 as the base period. The geometric mean. Data source: various industrial clusters
According to the association’s research, with the cancellation of power and production restriction policies, companies have gradually resumed normal production. Judging from the current capacity utilization rate of enterprises, 83% of the surveyed enterprises have a capacity utilization rate of more than 80%; 17% of the enterprises have a capacity utilization rate of 50% to 80%. Throughout the year, filament woven fabrics Production will achieve a slight increase.
From a full-year perspective, Since 2021, affected by the new crown epidemic, the entire textile industry The industrial chain has experienced violent fluctuations, and the price of gray fabrics has been affected by the “roller coaster” price of raw materials, with ups and downs.At the beginning of the year, due to the excessive price increase of polyester filament, the price of gray fabric also increased significantly. But then it entered the off-season, and the gray fabric market fell both in volume and price, and the price once fell to the bottom. It was not until the end of September that the market conditions improved, and the entire industry chain also ushered in a wave of price increases. However, because the downstream market was not hot enough, the prices of gray fabrics, fabrics, etc. increased slightly. Then the peak season ended and the price of gray fabrics fell again. Therefore, the overall price of gray fabrics at the end of the year was mostly lower than that at the beginning of the year.
Take100D four-sided bullet as an example. Compared with the beginning of the year and the end of the year, the price of gray fabric has increased. fell. The price at the beginning of the year was 2.4 yuan/meter, and at the end of the year it was 2.2 yuan/meter, a decrease of 0.2 yuan/meter. However, there was a market explosion in October, which caused the price of gray fabric to be the highest point of the year. The price of 100D four-sided stretch gray fabric was at 2.45 yuan/meter.
From the perspective of monthly performance, Textile and clothing retail and online sales in 2021 will basically be Fortunately, the first half of the year, especially the period from February to March around the Spring Festival, is of course mainly due to the outbreak of the epidemic around the Spring Festival in 2020, which greatly affected the retail sales of textiles and clothing at that time. Foreign trade was mainly concentrated at the end of December, which was also mainly due to the Due to the rebound in overseas clothing demand in 2022, under the normal situation of anti-epidemic, global clothing demand has begun to pick up.
Judging from the transaction data of China Textile City, the gray fabric market performed well in the first half of the year, and in the third quarter The popularity of the fabric market has declined. Since October, market activity has increased significantly, and transaction volume has increased month by month. Among them, the daily transaction volume of woven polyester decorative fabrics such as curtain fabrics and window screens has shown a steady increase, and blackout jacquard curtain fabrics have long occupied the Ranked first in the best-selling fabric rankings, it has received widespread attention; the market performance of various types of yarn-dyed fabrics, lining fabrics and luggage lining accessories has been good in the second half of the year, with shipments increasing steadily. Entering the fourth quarter, many places experienced significant rain, snow and windy weather, and Nigeria Down jacket fabrics such as silk fabrics and gallbladder fabrics and jacket fashion casual fabrics have received widespread attention, and shipments have continued to rise;Since November, spring and summer clothing has begun to be produced and stocked, and the imitation silk fabric market has picked up significantly.
According to association research, Enterprises whose domestic sales orders in 2021 will remain the same or increase year-on-year The proportion reached 66%, and the number of companies with order volume increasing by more than 20% year-on-year accounted for 19%. The domestic demand market has recovered steadily. However, it should be noted that 22% of companies have domestic sales orders that have decreased by more than 10% year-on-year, especially imitation silk companies. Mainly. The traditional peak season for imitation silk is from November to April of the following year. It is recommended that enterprises mainly produce differentiated and functional fabrics to avoid homogeneous competition.
At the same time, according to Chinese customs data, from January to November, the cumulative exports of polyester filament fabrics 14.96 billion meters, a year-on-year increase of 30.4%, an increase of 11.1% compared with the same period in 2019; the cumulative export of nylon filament fabrics was 460 million meters, a year-on-year increase of 23.0%, a decrease of 13.0% compared with the same period in 2019. The data shows that the export volume of polyester filament fabrics is the highest At pre-epidemic levels, nylon filament fabrics are still in the process of recovery.
Taken together, under the influence of factors such as the recovery in international market demand and the return of overseas orders,In the first half of 2021, China’s cumulative export volume of chemical fiber filament fabrics has maintained substantial growth, with the export growth rate reaching a maximum of 50.1% from January to June 2021. Since the second half of the year, although the export growth rate has slowed down, the foreign trade market demand is objective exists, and the export growth rate remains at a high level. From January to November 2021, China’s chemical fiber filament fabric export growth rate was 30.9%.
With a wave of “tail-pipe” market conditions at the end of the year, not only the textile market is facing The holiday adjustment also revealed a signal about the market trend in 2022. This signal gave the market a big shot in the arm. Textile people have changed their attitude towards predicting the market next year, and most of them are optimistic. There will definitely be peaks if there are troughs, and at the end of the year There will be some unfinished orders left, and the “gold, three, and silver” stages of the traditional peak season are coming soon, and the market situation in the first half of the year can be expected.
With a wave of “tail-pipe” market conditions at the end of the year, not only the textile market is facing The holiday adjustment also revealed a signal about the market trend in 2022. This signal gave the market a big shot in the arm. Textile people have changed their attitude towards predicting the market next year, and most of them are optimistic. There will definitely be peaks if there are troughs, and at the end of the year There will be some unfinished orders left, and the “gold, three, and silver” stages of the traditional peak season are coming soon, and the market situation in the first half of the year can be expected.
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