Flame retardant fabric_Flame retardant fabric_Cotton flame retardant fabric_Flame retardant fabric information platform Flame-retardant Fabric News Heavy! Deliveries in the manufacturing industry are delayed, containers are hard to find, and the global supply chain may be severely disrupted!

Heavy! Deliveries in the manufacturing industry are delayed, containers are hard to find, and the global supply chain may be severely disrupted!



The highly synchronized global supply chain system developed in the past30 years is facing unprecedented pressure. 2022 Will this situation improve? Market research organizationIHS…

The highly synchronized global supply chain system developed in the past30 years is facing unprecedented pressure. 2022 Will this situation improve?

Market research organizationIHSMarkit released the latest report “Supply Chain Disruption: Why Will It Happen in2022< "Continue to Happen in 2022" points out that in 2022, solving the problem of supply chain disruption will no longer be a matter of " sprint mode, but evolved into a well-run marathonSchedule mode.

IHS Markit Vice Chairman and Daniel Yergin (Daniel Yergin ) said: Global The changes taking place in supply chains are not only disruptive but also historic. Concerns about inflation also add to the urgency of understanding the outlook for supply chains in 2022 . span>

While the epidemic has been an important factor driving disruptions, with the current Omicron strain creating new uncertainties, it is not the only factor, the report said. Beyond the pandemic, there are numerous capacity-building, logistics and workforce challenges.

The report details manufacturing, ports and other fields in chapters. In terms of manufacturing, the report believes that after unprecedented supply disruptions in 2021, there are now early signs of normalization; however, in terms of ports with serious port congestion, At least in the first half of 2022, there is no guarantee that the field can quickly return to pre-epidemic levels.

Manufacturing industry shows early signs of normalization

The report pointed out that,in 2021, the global manufacturing delivery time will be significantly extended. In 2022January , many companies again stated that their output was seriously restricted and input costs were rising rapidly. Setting a record in the first ten years of the epidemic, the Omicron strain has also brought new uncertainties.

According toIHS Markitthe latest global manufacturingPMI survey released at the beginning of the year, the industry remains It has been largely pressured by supply bottlenecks and uncertainty related to the pandemic, but there are some signs that things are starting to improve. The incidence of global supplier delivery delays was the lowest since March 2021, leaving factories around the world Output growth accelerated to its fastest pace since July.

Importantly, in the preceding months, production growth lagged demand growth to an unprecedented extent. This is due to staff and material shortages, and factories simply cannot produce all the products customers need. But now, production and demand growth are broadly back in line.

However, in the context of unprecedented supply disruptions, according toIHS Markit for purchasing managers30 years, supplier delivery times have never been as long as in 2021 in history. Entering 2022, although the situation has improved slightly, the number of companies reporting output constrained by shortages is still at the long-term average of 3.5 times. In addition, the increase in average supplier delivery times has eased, but is still far beyond pre-pandemic levels.

These shortages create a seller’s market. In December 2021, as supply bottlenecks eased, industrial price pressures saw some welcome cooling. But manufacturing input costs are still rising faster than they were in the decade before the pandemic.

In addition, the latestPMI survey data coincides with an accelerated rise in cases caused by the Omicron strain, which increases the risk of entry 2022The possibility of further disruption of global production and supply after 2022, and the blockade policies of some countries may also amplify it.and entertainment) turned to home improvement, from physical stores to e-commerce, the container supply chain was immediately placed in an unprecedented tense situation. E-commerce growth that was supposed to take five to seven years has been compressed into one year. E-commerce requires distribution centers, but the capabilities of distribution centers cannot match. But even now, the United States is still not ready in terms of distribution capabilities.

Secondly, the multiple stimulus plans launched by the U.S. government have enhanced consumption power. This resulted in the volume of containers imported into the United States in 2021 increasing by nearly compared with 2019 >20%. However, under this situation, the lack of shipping capacity has exacerbated the crisis in the container supply chain.

Both ocean carriers and forwarders said there are enough ships and containers to cope with the surge in demand, the report said. But the problem is that the capacity is not used effectively and the circulation is very slow.

The report estimates that 10 to 15% of capacity is wasted due to congestion. This is evident in freight rates: compared with the previous year, spot container freight rates have increased three to five times.

IHS Markit Peter Tirschwell, vice chairman of the marine and trade sector, said that although in the past few weeks, some news said that the supply chain crisis is developing Ease, but after the start of 2022, we have not yet seen evidence of this, at least not in terms of container liquidity.

Tesheville said that a recurring problem since the epidemic is that after a shock, it is difficult for the entire maritime system to recover, and the next shock will come soon.

For example, the system has no chance of closing the Suez Canal for six days from March 2021 recover from the situation. He explained that new disruptions, such as the Omicron strain, could further disrupt the system and make containers more difficult to find. span>”phenomenon. For this reason, it is still unlikely that the maritime industry will return to its pre-epidemic state at least in the first half of 2022.


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