After the Spring Festival, the number of ships waiting at ports on the West Coast of the United States has decreased. Yangming Shipping pointed out that the waiting time at the port has dropped from the longest to about 20 days in recent months.
According to statistics from the logistics giant Kuehne + Nagel, there are currently more than 565 main ships waiting in ports around the world; the Asian Linerlytica platform estimates that about 10% of container ships in the world are stuck. The congestion in the Western United States is transferred to other ports in North America. Sea-Intelligence Congestion is predicted to intensify in March and April.
Yang Ming pointed out that the current number of ships waiting at the port has dropped from a maximum of more than a hundred to about 80. However, since it is now the peak off-season after the Lunar New Year, Wanhai Shipping recommends observing the data in March for more reference.
Linerlytica commented that although congestion has eased in most parts of Asia this week, congestion in North America continues to escalate, with a total of about 10% of the global container fleet, or 2.53 million TEU, stranded due to port congestion.
Although the media focus is on the reduction in ship queues in Los Angeles/Long Beach, the actual reason is that ships have been rerouted to the East Coast of the United States and other West Coast ports since October last year, shifting congestion to other North American ports.
Danish supply chain research firm Sea-Intelligence predicts that an increase in the number of ships scheduled to ship goods from Asia to North America in March and April this year will exacerbate port congestion.
The reason is that the number of ships scheduled to leave Asia and subsequently arrive on the West Coast of North America will increase sharply in March and April, an increase of more than 40% compared with normal levels before the epidemic. In addition, the increase in the number of medium and small ships has lengthened the loading and unloading time.
The company analyzed that if the time for ships to enter and exit the berth is taken into account, the efficiency of handling two ships with 5,000 boxes is lower than that of handling one ship with 10,000 boxes.
More worryingly, the number of ships on the Asia-North America East Coast trade route will increase by 60% in the coming months as carriers try to avoid congested West Coast ports, which will severely increase East Coast port infrastructure. pressure.
A few days ago, container ships from the two major ports in the West must report in advance when leaving the last port, and the port will inform them of the time they can enter the port. Before then, they must wait at sea and cannot anchor in the berthing area outside the port, nor can they enter the port for operations.
While the number of ships currently calling at Los Angeles/Long Beach has dropped from a peak of 109 on January 9 to 76 last week, the sailing times for ships sailing to these areas from Asia have dropped from mid-November to The recorded 28 days increased to an average of 38 days.
Freight forwarders believe that the issue of port congestion at the twin ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach in the West United States has become one of the most important economic issues in the world. Ship delays across the Asia-North Europe route also show no signs of improving from the date of Alphaliner’s last survey of the trade in early November last year.
Seaexplorer, Kuehne + Nagel’s digital platform, has developed a global disruption indicator that calculates cumulative waiting times per container (in days) based on container ship capacity at disruption hotspots.
Specific hotspots covered include Los Angeles, Long Beach, Seattle, Vancouver, Prince Rupert, Oakland, New York, Savannah, Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Ningbo, Rotterdam and Antwerp.
US platform project44 estimates congestion will worsen in the coming weeks.
“While the ocean freight market may have slowed slightly in February, demand is expected to pick up again as factories gradually resume operations. There is likely to be further congestion at ports in the coming month as U.S. retailers and other shippers replenish and increase safety stocks. ”
project44 pointed out that according to industry insiders, global ports are suffering from a gridlock that has not been seen in decades. Coupled with the current soaring sea freight, the global supply chain is about to be destroyed. Consumer goods prices have soared in many areas and people are hoarding goods. , there are also manufacturing companies that “have no rice to cook” and close their factories…
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